Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 335.059284 381.958147 434.860909 499.313124 576.194886 665.563601 778.182708
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 272.097863 333.956546 410.653934 514.208223 652.667513 834.797230 1098.331161
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 234.169327 301.076762 389.209394 516.584386 700.785714 965.494734 1390.393124
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 203.709007 271.163533 364.175493 505.875885 723.973774 1060.958951 1651.800110
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 183.968490 252.286827 350.297321 506.727214 761.439575 1182.358657 1985.556610
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 165.159414 231.983988 330.983457 495.177400 775.495747 1266.324892 2276.037452
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 151.834296 218.028852 319.066264 492.813814 803.215364 1378.401402 2654.774234
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 135.951353 198.435536 295.951723 468.277773 787.011818 1404.292981 2859.629513
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 131.534342 196.198463 300.158083 490.774693 860.561043 1622.412131 3582.500833
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 128.814732 196.292868 308.020866 520.633479 953.752914 1905.916390 4599.349418
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 121.659746 188.341482 301.197216 522.048242 989.096959 2069.278567 5368.031667
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 112.979779 177.062574 287.390315 508.105324 989.001962 2147.934798 5920.323047
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 104.927200 166.449761 274.184255 494.522867 989.329045 2233.339248 6564.364181
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 101.530292 163.708917 275.119424 509.944558 1059.781883 2527.071879 8159.819120
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 96.785191 158.143464 270.168224 512.245478 1099.282912 2747.877963 9649.114254
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 90.969823 150.183407 259.889240 501.652753 1104.528706 2869.079018 10809.345322
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 86.973757 145.263455 255.061264 502.494936 1139.668228 3097.082640 12707.278739
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 82.016663 138.197911 245.369145 491.065522 1139.754593 3210.087379 14120.314604
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 78.395668 133.412482 239.867698 488.726484 1164.840083 3420.751273 16361.359430
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 72.923802 124.750079 225.788777 464.443517 1122.845943 3373.230733 16905.097714
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 72.214333 125.241844 230.692213 486.708518 1222.643628 3908.815488 22355.932173
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 72.087480 126.852620 238.084262 516.255357 1352.677760 4639.344202 31056.846870
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 69.597843 123.576506 234.657978 517.655226 1393.245158 5002.542216 37296.551381